A new baseline survey conducted in the lead-up to the Kpandai parliamentary re-run has revealed a complex political mood among voters, one that strongly favors President John Mahama at the national level but remains divided when it comes to choosing a local representative.
According to findings released by Global InfoAnalytics, residents of the Kpandai constituency overwhelmingly express confidence in the country’s current trajectory under the Mahama administration. The poll shows that 66 percent of respondents believe Ghana is moving in the right direction, while 64 percent approve of the president’s overall performance in office.
This level of endorsement reflects broad satisfaction with national leadership and signals a generally favorable climate for the governing National Democratic Congress (NDC).
“On the whole, voters in Kpandai are optimistic about Ghana’s direction,” the research team observed, underscoring the depth of national-level goodwill toward the president.
Yet, this optimism has not seamlessly translated into electoral momentum for the NDC’s parliamentary candidate, Daniel Nsala Wakpal. Despite the strong approval ratings for President Mahama, the parliamentary contest remains tightly contested.
The poll places the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) candidate, Hon. Mathew Nyindam, slightly ahead with 50 percent support, compared to Wakpal’s 46 percent a margin well within statistical uncertainty.
Analysts suggest that this apparent contradiction stems from the electorate’s sharp distinction between national leadership and local representation.
While voters express satisfaction with the broader direction of the country, their parliamentary choice appears to be driven more by constituency-specific concerns than by party loyalty or presidential performance.
When respondents were asked to identify the most critical factors influencing their vote, practical, bread-and-butter issues dominated. Job creation emerged as the top concern, cited by 34 percent of voters, followed by the state of the economy at 18 percent and road infrastructure at 15 percent.
These priorities indicate that voters are scrutinizing candidates based on their perceived ability to deliver tangible improvements at the local level.
“The leading issues shaping voter decisions are employment, economic conditions, and roads,” the poll summary noted, pointing to a campaign likely to revolve around concrete development plans rather than national rhetoric.
The survey, conducted between December 11 and 13, 2025, sampled 1,065 registered voters across the constituency. It also found that 3 percent of voters remain undecided, a small but potentially decisive bloc in such a closely fought race.
Both parties are expected to intensify their outreach efforts to win over these swing voters in the final days of the campaign.
The stakes are particularly high as the Kpandai seat became vacant following the annulment of the 2024 parliamentary election results, necessitating the re-run.
With political tensions still fresh and voter expectations clearly defined, the outcome will test whether national approval can ultimately influence local electoral fortunes.
A final tracking poll is scheduled for December 25 to 28, just days before voters head back to the ballot box. That survey is expected to offer clearer insight into whether the NDC can convert its strong national standing into a parliamentary victory or whether local considerations will once again tip the balance.