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Bad loans of 9.5% will continue to weigh on banks’ earnings – Fitch Solutions

 

 

 

Ghanaian banks stand to gain from the closure of the Domestic Debt Exchange Programme (DDEP), but soaring bad loans threaten to cap their profitability, according to Fitch Solutions

In a press statement dated 27 January 2026, the international ratings agency noted that the debt restructuring’s end has bolstered capital buffers across Ghana’s banking sector. Its latest outlook on Sub-Saharan Africa’s banking industry predicts a friendlier monetary policy landscape, with loan growth accelerating in most markets this year.

Yet Fitch flags Ghana’s elevated non-performing loans (NPLs) as a major risk. As of October 2025, these bad loans lingered at 9.5%, a level the agency expects to drag on banks’ earnings.

Region-wide, Fitch anticipates robust loan expansion by year-end, fueled by pent-up demand, brighter economic outlooks, and lower government borrowing amid fiscal tightening. Banks now face urgency to shift capital toward private-sector lending to maintain returns.

In recent years, regional banks ramped up holdings in high-yield government securities now comprising 20-35% of assets in some markets, up from 10-15% pre-pandemic.

Story by: Mercy Addai Turkson #ahotoronline.com

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